Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.573245 0.650482 0.732864 0.827116 0.931802 1.044344 1.174321
2025-09-14 0.442117 0.546646 0.666444 0.813242 0.987570 1.187241 1.432468
2025-09-21 0.356865 0.478126 0.626653 0.820359 1.064522 1.360131 1.742935
2025-09-28 0.283007 0.409765 0.575213 0.804000 1.108708 1.496695 2.023550
2025-10-05 0.243029 0.377669 0.563772 0.834854 1.213691 1.717489 2.429805
2025-10-12 0.211058 0.350606 0.554096 0.865033 1.318969 1.946608 2.866381
2025-10-19 0.179006 0.317468 0.530153 0.870391 1.388065 2.130384 3.254899
2025-10-26 0.152408 0.287907 0.506647 0.872041 1.449823 2.306625 3.644492
2025-11-02 0.130524 0.262078 0.484804 0.872399 1.507767 2.479721 4.040204
2025-11-09 0.112504 0.239654 0.464990 0.872658 1.563917 2.652400 4.445422
2025-11-16 0.098116 0.221244 0.449176 0.876933 1.625535 2.836306 4.878410
2025-11-23 0.084401 0.201555 0.428089 0.868905 1.664595 2.985431 5.264474
2025-11-30 0.075149 0.189496 0.419851 0.883474 1.744541 3.208316 5.786815
2025-12-07 0.064605 0.172637 0.399898 0.873709 1.780094 3.359077 6.199999
2025-12-14 0.057523 0.162187 0.391285 0.884468 1.853350 3.578531 6.741402
2025-12-21 0.049222 0.147123 0.370783 0.868993 1.875682 3.709833 7.139155
2025-12-28 0.045796 0.143506 0.374532 0.903329 1.995826 4.022500 7.870286
2026-01-04 0.042606 0.139864 0.377673 0.936522 2.116062 4.342268 8.631036
2026-01-11 0.038068 0.131594 0.368890 0.942821 2.182625 4.566514 9.231645
2026-01-18 0.033856 0.123303 0.358814 0.944946 2.240401 4.777141 9.817932
2026-01-25 0.030088 0.115455 0.348644 0.945556 2.294657 4.983672 10.406725
2026-02-01 0.026770 0.108215 0.338921 0.945978 2.348169 5.191331 11.007601
2026-02-08 0.024022 0.102154 0.331374 0.950657 2.410985 5.420452 11.660213